Sunday, November 14, 2004
More Analysis Of Election Results
When I was in graduate school at George Mason University I learned to appreciate the views of James Q. Wilson. We do not have the opportunity to read him often these days so when he writes on current events, as he did today in the Wall Street Journal On-line it is worth our time. Here is an exert:
The pollsters do no provide much information because they usually gather too few responses to permit observers to cross-tabulate data into all of the relevant categories. What is the vote likely to be in Ohio among gun-owning union members who attend church but who have just lost their jobs and think the U.S. should spend less time fighting wars? Or how will business people vote if they have received a tax cut, think our invasion of Iraq is not going well, and oppose abortion?
The pollsters do no provide much information because they usually gather too few responses to permit observers to cross-tabulate data into all of the relevant categories. What is the vote likely to be in Ohio among gun-owning union members who attend church but who have just lost their jobs and think the U.S. should spend less time fighting wars? Or how will business people vote if they have received a tax cut, think our invasion of Iraq is not going well, and oppose abortion?